Simulating Interplanetary Propagation of a Coronal Mass Ejection Based on AWSoM+FGL
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摘要: 日冕物质抛射(Coronal Mass Ejections,CMEs)是影响空间天气的重要因素。为了预测其到达地球的时间和对地效应,需要准确的背景太阳风模拟和CMEs三维重构。本文选取发生在2014年1月7日的一个CME事件,使用AWSoM(Alfvén Wave Solar atmosphere Model)的稳态(Steady state)模式分别模拟了基于GONG和ADAPT-GONG磁图的包含日冕和内日球层的两种背景太阳风,使用FGL(Fitting of Gibson–Low)重构了基于SOHO、STEREO-A和STEREO-B三个观测视角的CME三维速度、密度、压强和磁场。将重构所得三维CME插入到稳态背景日冕,使用AWSoM的Time accurate模式计算了CME从日冕到地球的行星际传播过程。基于两种背景太阳风计算的CME到达地球时间相对于实测时间的误差都在一小时以内,验证了AWSoM+FGL的有效性。Abstract: Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are an important factor influencing space weather. To predict their arrival time at Earth and their geoeffective impact, accurate background solar wind simulations and three-dimensional reconstructions of CMEs are required. This paper selects a CME event that occurred on January 7, 2014. Using the steady-state mode of the Alfvén Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM), two background solar wind scenarios—incorporating the corona and inner heliosphere—were simulated based on GONG and ADAPT-GONG magnetograms, respectively. The three-dimensional velocity, density, pressure, and magnetic field of the CME were reconstructed using the Fitting of Gibson–Low (FGL) method, based on observations from three vantage points: SOHO, STEREO-A, and STEREO-B. The reconstructed three-dimensional CME was then inserted into the steady-state background corona, and the interplanetary propagation process of the CME from the corona to Earth was computed using the time-accurate mode of AWSoM. The errors between the CME arrival times at Earth calculated using the two background solar wind scenarios and the actual measured times were both within one hour, validating the effectiveness of the AWSoM+FGL approach.
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