Volume 5 Issue 4
Dec.  1985
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Hu Fu-min, Jiang Ming-han. The Fuzzy Classification of the Solar Cycle and the Prediction for the 22nd Solar Cycle[J]. Chinese Journal of Space Science, 1985, 5(4): 237-244. doi: 10.11728/cjss1985.04.237
Citation: Hu Fu-min, Jiang Ming-han. The Fuzzy Classification of the Solar Cycle and the Prediction for the 22nd Solar Cycle[J]. Chinese Journal of Space Science, 1985, 5(4): 237-244. doi: 10.11728/cjss1985.04.237

The Fuzzy Classification of the Solar Cycle and the Prediction for the 22nd Solar Cycle

doi: 10.11728/cjss1985.04.237 cstr: 32142.14.cjss1985.04.237
  • Received Date: 1984-09-03
  • Rev Recd Date: 1900-01-01
  • Publish Date: 1985-12-24
  • In this paper, on the basis of fuzzy set theory the classification and the prediction of solar cycles are discussed. By using the method of fuzzy cluster analysis, a prediction for the 22nd solar cycle has been made. The results are as follows:The length of the declining time for the 21st cycle is 8 or 9 years; the begining time for the 22nd cycle is the year 1987 or 1988; the first minimum of the year, s mean value of the relative number is 4.3; the length of the ascending duration for the 22nd cycle is 4 years; the maxima of the year, s mean value of the relative number is 118.9; the length of the declining duration for the 22nd cycle is 6.5 or 8 years.

     

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